Mercoledì, Maggio 20, 2026
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Desiderio Consultants Ltd. è una think tank e una rete di consulenti indipendenti esperti in sviluppo internazionale. Siamo specializzati nella promozione e orientamento delle politiche doganali, commerciali e dei trasporti nei paesi africani. Il nostro obiettivo è promuovere riforme politiche e normative che migliorino l'integrazione regionale e rafforzino la partecipazione dell'Africa alle catene di valore regionali e globali.

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Notizie

Liquid Institutionalism, Open-Source Geopolitics, and the Unbundling of Global Order

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In this article published on the Eurasia review we argue that the post-1945 global order is gradually being “unbundled” into a fragmented, modular system of governance and power. Instead of stable, rule-based institutions dominating geopolitics, the world is moving towards “liquid institutionalism”: a landscape of flexible, temporary, and issue-specific coalitions. The core claim is that states and supernational organizations increasingly operate outside rigid institutional frameworks or preagreed rules. Global governance is becoming less hierarchical and more networked, with actors opportunistically joining and leaving arrangements depending on convergence of interests, need to overcome crises, or to collectively seize opportunities. This scenario is defined “open-source geopolitics”: a situation where power is decentralized and strategic influence is distributed across overlapping platforms rather than solidify around a single hegemonic order. Consequently, modular governance structures emerge: mini-lateral partnerships, coalitions of willing, and sectorally-focused alliances that solve problems functionally rather than ideologically. A key implication is that success in the emerging order depends less on sovereignty in the classical sense. Countries and institutions able to plug into multiple systems, switch partnerships, and coordinate across fragmented architectures are likely to fare better than those relying on fixed geopolitical blocs. In short, the future global order will not be a clean replacement of U.S.-led liberalism by multipolarity, but a fluid, decentralized, and constantly recomposed system of overlapping institutions and alliances, where resilience comes from flexibility rather than adherence to pre-agreed rules, institutional arrangements or treaties. In the emerging new global order, size and power may matter less than the ability to adapt, connect, and recombine across changing alliances and economic networks.

Fragmented Integration in a Multipolar Trade Order: Latin America, Africa and the Search for Convergence

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Regions sharing similar developmental trajectories often hold the most valuable lessons for one another. Too often, development thinking flows vertically, from advanced economies outward. Yet, many of the most transformative insights emerge horizontally, through the comparison of regions confronting analogous structural constraints, geopolitical pressures, and integration dilemmas. This article explores the external trade relations of Africa and Latin America: two regions marked by striking historical and structural similarities, yet still navigating distinct geopolitical and developmental trajectories. What makes this comparison compelling is that, beneath these divergences, new forms of convergence are beginning to emerge: reshaping how the Global South positions itself within a rapidly fragmenting world economy. Read it in English or Spanish.

Beyond Market Access: Regional Integration as the Emerging Architecture of African Resilience

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A growing body of literature on African integration is beginning to reinterpret African regionalism not simply as a trade liberalisation project, but increasingly as a resilience governance tool. This conceptual shift has accelerated in the aftermath of COVID-19, the war in Ukraine, climate disruptions, and the recent supply chain shocks linked to instability in the Middle East, all of which exposed the fragility of fragmented markets, transit dependency, and externally dependent logistics systems across the continent. A recent UN study on African landlocked least developed countries (LLDCs) reflects this evolving direction quite clearly. One of its most interesting contributions is that it connects regional value chains, trade facilitation, digital trade, corridor governance, and resilience strategies within a single analytical framework. Rather than treating these as isolated policy domains, the report presents them as interconnected dimensions of economic resilience and structural transformation.

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Alert: Second edition of the Africa Supply Chain Insights Bulletin online

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The second edition of the Africa Supply Chain Insights Bulletin is online. Developed by Desiderio Consultants in collaboration with the Advanced Institute for Supply Chain Research (AISCR Global), the bulletin is a strategic publication examining emerging trends, disruptions, and transformation shaping supply chains across Africa and globally. This edition focuses on the growing reality of what many analysts now describe as a “permacrisis” environment, a period characterized by overlapping geopolitical tensions, logistics disruptions, financial instability, infrastructure fragmentation, and trade uncertainty that continue to reshape global and African supply chains. The bulletin explores how Africa is transitioning from being a passive absorber of global supply chain shocks toward becoming a more strategic participant in global value creation through infrastructure development, trade integration, industrial upgrading, and regional collaboration.

Bridging Fragmentation In The Horn Of Africa-Gulf Logistics Systems: Lessons From The Malacca–ASEAN–Indian Ocean System

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This article examines a strategically critical but still fragmented maritime space linking Djibouti, Berbera, Bosaso, Mogadishu, Eritrean ports (Assab and Massawa), and Port Sudan with Gulf hubs such as Jeddah, Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Doha. Despite its growing importance as a bridge between Africa, the Middle East, and the wider Indian Ocean economy, the system still operates more through parallel bilateral connections than through coordinated regional network logic. Using the Malacca–ASEAN–Indian Ocean system as a comparative reference, the analysis argues that global trade is increasingly organised not around linear routes, but around integrated logistics ecosystems shaped by interconnected ports, chokepoints, transshipment hubs, and digital-regulatory infrastructures.

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