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Desiderio Consultants Ltd. è una think tank e una rete di consulenti indipendenti esperti in sviluppo internazionale. Siamo specializzati nella promozione e orientamento delle politiche doganali, commerciali e dei trasporti nei paesi africani. Il nostro obiettivo è promuovere riforme politiche e normative che migliorino l'integrazione regionale e rafforzino la partecipazione dell'Africa alle catene di valore regionali e globali.

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Africa Won't Integrate Through Agreements. It Will Integrate Through Production

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Historically, regional integration processes have followed a linear hierarchical logic: create supranational institutions, sign trade agreements, remove tariffs… and then integration will happen. This article argues that this logic does not apply to Africa. Hystory has proven that African nations do not integrate because they sign agreements. They integrate because they produce together. The AfCFTA remains an extraordinary political achievement. But political integration alone cannot create industrial integration. Factories do. Supply chains do. Joint industrial projects do. The paper advances therefore a different way of thinking about African integration. Instead of asking: « How do we implement the AfCFTA? » we should ask: “What productive projects will make the AfCFTA inevitable?” This leads to what we call Project-centered model of African integration.  Continental integration should not be understood as a process that cascades from the African Union to the RECs and then to Member States. Rather, it emerges from successful regional integration initiatives that are later scaled up and coordinated at the continental level. Starting by connecting factories, farmers, logistics providers and manufacturers across neighboring countries: one regional value chain at a time. Because production creates interdependence. And interdependence creates integration. The policy implication is that African integration follows an emergent rather than hierarchical logic. Continental governance succeeds when it institutionalizes successful regional capabilities instead of attempting to create them through continental mandates.

The Invisible Industrialization Taking Place Across Africa

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Every few months, the same verdict is delivered on the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA): it is not yet transforming Africa's productive structure. Manufacturing remains weak, raw commodities still dominate exports, and the continent continues importing machinery, electronics and vehicles. The conclusion appears inescapable. Africa has not industrialized. But maybe the problem lies elsewhere. Perhaps we are trying to measure the current situation with a wrong scorecard. The AfCFTA may ultimately be judged a failure not because it fails to industrialize Africa, but because we continue looking for evidence of industrialization in the wrong places.

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Ethiopia and Kenya are formalising small-scale trade, but traders might still choose informal routes

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This article published by Trade Finance Global (TFG) interviewing out CEO explores one of most important trade policy experiments in East Africa: the new Ethiopia–Kenya Simplified Trade Regime (STR) at Moyale. The initiative seeks to formalize small-scale cross-border trade by introducing simplified customs procedures for licensed border traders. The article highlights a fundamental tension at the heart of formalization policies: governments seek greater regulatory control, while traders seek the lowest-cost and most predictable way to earn a living. As long as formal channels remain more costly, restrictive, or less convenient than informal ones, many will continue to operate outside the formal system. The discussion then reframes trade facilitation as behavioural economics. The central message is essentially: traders do not become formal because governments create a legal framework. They become formal when the legal framework is more attractive than the informal alternative.

The New Investment Game: Why Africa Must Turn Geopolitics Potential into Industrial Power

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The UNCTAD World Investment Report 2026 portrays a global investment landscape increasingly shaped by geopolitical fragmentation, industrial policy, technological transformation, and the search for more resilient supply chains. For Africa, it presents a mixed picture. While the continent continues to attract growing interest from international investors, the scale, distribution, and developmental impact of these investments remain uneven.

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Why Circulation, Not Infrastructure Accumulation, Drives Development Outcomes

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Instead of asking, "How much infrastructure should countries build?", the more fundamental question is: "Does that infrastructure enable the efficient circulation of productive factors throughout the economic system?". This is the central proposition of the Theory of Circulation in Trade Systems, which argues that infrastructure is not the engine of development in itself, but the medium through which economic activity flows. Read the article in the Eurasia Review.

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