Sabato, Gennaio 17, 2026
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Desiderio Consultants Ltd. è una think tank e una rete di consulenti indipendenti esperti in sviluppo internazionale. Siamo specializzati nella promozione e orientamento delle politiche doganali, commerciali e dei trasporti nei paesi africani. Il nostro obiettivo è promuovere riforme politiche e normative che migliorino l'integrazione regionale e rafforzino la partecipazione dell'Africa alle catene di valore regionali e globali.

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Notizie

Africa at a Turning Point: Growth Momentum in a Fragmented Global Economy

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The African economy stands at a pivotal juncture, according to the UNCTAD Trade and Development Report 2025. While the continent continues to display a measure of resilience and growth momentum, it remains highly exposed to global geoeconomic shocks and persistent financial constraints. Africa’s contribution to global economic growth is estimated to have increased to approximately 4.6 per cent in 2025, up from 3.6 per cent in 2024, with projections suggesting a further rise to 5.2 per cent by 2026. Despite this positive trajectory, Africa’s contribution remains among the lowest of all world regions, exceeding only that of Oceania. In terms of real GDP growth, the continent is projected to expand by about 3.7 per cent in 2025, rising modestly to 4.1 per cent in 2026. At that level, Africa would marginally outperform Asia, where growth is forecast at around 3.9 per cent in the same year.

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AfCFTA at Five: Reflecting on Progress, Gaps, and the Path Ahead

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As 2025 draws to a close, it is time to take stock of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and assess what has been achieved over the past five years. Since its formal launch in January 2021, the AfCFTA has been the subject of unprecedented attention from media outlets, research institutes, universities, think tanks, and policy analysts across the continent and beyond. Virtually every aspect of the agreement—from tariff liberalisation and rules of origin to industrialisation, infrastructure, and digital trade—has been scrutinised, debated, and documented. This sustained engagement has generated a rich body of analysis, often portraying the AfCFTA as Africa’s most ambitious economic integration project to date. Yet, as noted in this article, despite this intellectual and political momentum, the AfCFTA remains very much a work in progress.

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Energy Security and Africa: The Risk of a New Extractive Trap?

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The global energy debate is undergoing a significant shift. As explained by a recent World Economic Forum (WEF) article, advanced economies are increasingly prioritizing energy security (defined as access to energy that is affordable, reliable, and firmly under national control), over the earlier emphasis on climate mitigation and energy transition. This change creates both opportunities and risks for Africa. The continent continues to experience acute energy poverty. More than 600 million people lack access to electricity, and in many countries unreliable and costly power supply remains a major constraint on industrialization. Without stable and affordable energy, factories cannot operate efficiently, production cannot scale, and sustained job creation remains elusive.

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Connecting the Souths: Identifying Strategic Sectors for Africa–Latin America Trade, industrial and Value Chain Cooperation

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Amidst rising geopolitical uncertainty and tensions, Africa and Latin America & the Caribbean (LAC) possess significant, yet untapped potential for developing resilient South–South value chains. This paper conducts a comparative analysis of their business environments and identifies structural and regulatory challenges to cross-continental industrial collaboration. Sectors with the greatest complementarities—including agri-food, light manufacturing (such as textiles and apparel), digital services, and logistics—are highlighted as priorities for cooperation. Based on this analysis, the paper proposes a pragmatic, phased, corridor-focused strategy to operationalize South–South value-chain integration. Key elements of this roadmap include the establishment of strategic pilot initiatives, the adoption of Mutual Recognition Agreements (MRAs) to harmonize certification, testing and inspection procedures, the deployment of blended-finance instruments to de-risk joint investments, and the integration of informal economic actors to ensure inclusivity. This approach aims to translate identified complementarities into sustainable, institutionalized value chains that strengthen interregional trade and economic resilience... read here

Rise of Corridor intelligence systems in Africa: the Trans Africa Border Hub (TABH)

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A new digital initiative is emerging in Africa as part of a growing wave of electronic platforms designed to confront the continent's enduring transport and trade bottlenecks. The Trans Africa Border Hub (TABH) is a solution that seeks to bring real-time visibility, data integration, and predictive intelligence to the continent’s most critical trade arteries.

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