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Desiderio Consultants Ltd. is a think tank and a network of independent professional international development consultants established to promote and influence customs & trade-related policies in African nations to achieve trade facilitation reforms aimed at improving international and regional trade
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Can AI help to optimize infrastructure planning in Africa?

The Africa’s public infrastructure deficit is widely recognized by economic literature and policy discourse. The 2018 African Economic Outlook published by the African Development Bank estimated the Africa’s road infrastructure needs in $130-170 billion per year, with a financing gap in the range of $68-108 billion. In August this year, the Bank revised this estimation, noting that such needs have now reached levels between $181 and $221 billion per year. But Large gaps also remain in other areas, like electricity, internet, and basic sanitation services. If on one side these deficits reveal a development path in Africa that is still long to be traveled, on the other hand also suggest that public infrastructure investments in Africa are an opportunity for high returns for economic activity and wealth generation. But at one condition: that the development of infrastructure projects is correctly planned so to become attractive for investors. Nobody invests in transport infrastructure, electricity or water supply projects whose operational efficiency, cost-effectiveness, and overall competitiveness have not been carefully evaluated. Infrastructure needs to be located where its economic effects are mostly felt, that’s the point.

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Maritime transport disruptions offer opportunities to Africa to develop port connectivity

The Greek philosopher Socrates once stated, “there is no favorable wind for the sailor who doesn’t know where to go.” Yet, this notion seems not to hold true for Africa, which is experiencing significant growth in port connectivity, largely driven by a series of unforeseen geopolitical events. The 2024 edition of the Review of Maritime Transport, an annual flagship report from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), sheds light on this development.

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Negative stereotypes and narratives on Africa cost to the continent up to $4.2 billion a year, report finds

In the world of journalism, a well-known expression says “when a dog bites a man, that is not news, but if a man bites a dog, that is news”. The same situation seems to happen each time global media talks about Africa. According to a report published by Africa No Filter (an advocacy organization that rails against harmful narratives that distort the reality in Africa), most of time the continent is portrayed in the media through a distorted lens, that focuses on structural weaknesses of its economies and shifts attention from positive stories to negative events, such as famine, war, violence and election fraud. On the one hand, this is perfectly understandable. People love hearing disaster stories, as those are the ones that sell best. But when this biased narrative ends up inflating perceptions of risks by investors, calling into question the ability of African countries to take control of their own development trajectory, this becomes a serious problem for a continent that is already in the grip of debt and that needs significant flows of investment to fund its growth.

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Is agriculture the right growth model for Africa?

A paper from the Morocco-based Policy Centre for the New South explores which development model Africa should adopt to enhance its economic growth and catch up with industrialized nations. The author suggests that Africa can learn from countries that have recently modernized their economies. But the question remains: which development model would be most appropriate? Should Africa follow the manufacturing-for-export model used by the East Asian Tigers (South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, and Hong Kong) and China? Or would a service-based model, like India’s – starting with global call centers and expanding to software development and back-office services such as research and development (R&D), accounting, and HR – be more suitable?

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The competition among African countries to become the next digital frontier

Competition among African countries for becoming the next world’s Silicon Valley is becoming intense. In East Africa, nations such as Kenya and Rwanda are striving to position themselves as digital powerhouses in the continent, by launching projects aimed at attracting investment in tech parks such as Konza or Kigali Innovation City (KIC). A new report from the Overseas Development Institute (ODI) tries this time to look to West Africa to identify other countries that can unleash their technological potential, by leveraging the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) to further expand their digital economy, boost international trade and create new jobs. The ODI report notes that Ghana is another nation that has a thriving digital economy, driven by a vibrant fintech industry with mobile money transactions that have been continually on the rise. This sector was valued at $2.5 billion in 2022 and represents a significant size of its GDP. Government initiatives such as the Ghana Digital Agenda 2018 and the Ghana Beyond Aid Charter and Strategy 2019, as well as robust regulatory frameworks for e-commerce and digital transactions (including the Electronic Transactions Act 2012, the Electronic Communications Act 2008, and, more recently, the Cyber Security Act 2020), further contribute to boost the sector.

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